Description

This analysis provides a forecast of BCH prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2026-02-01 404.128774 458.091088 517.658416 588.472747 670.597306 763.116368 875.625275
2026-02-08 322.226943 392.812340 477.506056 587.345382 727.084068 900.328555 1133.554632
2026-02-15 274.800311 351.213673 448.054723 581.169397 761.539582 1000.534624 1346.374771
2026-02-22 244.960044 325.311680 431.794419 585.381599 804.800758 1112.482773 1586.481734
2026-03-01 217.694344 298.387248 409.356309 576.009907 825.030115 1191.640673 1788.122162
2026-03-08 197.225880 277.972764 392.720084 571.388598 849.421102 1277.370597 2009.783077
2026-03-15 175.570960 253.319381 366.909627 549.303830 843.208130 1313.400478 2154.674626
2026-03-22 167.167758 247.158165 367.461911 567.010136 900.712303 1457.186474 2502.101360
2026-03-29 160.953962 243.537088 371.210999 589.675965 968.354835 1625.925037 2921.011733
2026-04-05 150.852954 232.808877 362.544935 590.588550 998.417970 1732.269363 3240.220569
2026-04-12 139.157152 218.472626 346.639955 577.295772 1001.325840 1788.863693 3469.978512
2026-04-19 129.116561 206.002683 332.679129 565.801907 1005.791912 1848.219871 3714.245048
2026-04-26 124.353493 202.115568 333.136639 580.589788 1062.210333 2017.997883 4230.349667
2026-05-03 117.350191 193.856295 325.323802 579.381383 1087.583492 2129.102051 4638.062091
2026-05-10 110.300556 184.939262 315.535997 573.310222 1102.226635 2219.320352 5013.719728
2026-05-17 105.383506 179.398288 311.322398 577.456386 1138.105995 2360.013697 5540.483541
2026-05-24 99.073345 170.872625 300.906167 568.229698 1144.468830 2435.464803 5916.132227
2026-05-31 93.911445 164.080344 293.192912 563.679721 1160.341190 2534.871575 6376.168792
2026-06-07 87.059321 153.687290 277.848927 541.934724 1135.417410 2533.903127 6558.602553
2026-06-14 85.359134 152.887180 280.992749 559.368773 1201.737677 2765.216671 7459.590651
2026-06-21 84.256499 153.136489 286.188374 581.684307 1282.276882 3045.366463 8578.297960
2026-06-28 80.927192 148.815451 281.863354 582.582747 1311.369866 3196.049478 9329.873819
2026-07-05 76.424070 141.891519 271.733268 569.495691 1304.383564 3248.580716 9773.203200